DETECTION: TIGHTENING
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Monetary Policy

SOFR (Secured Overnight Financing Rate)

Definition

The benchmark US dollar overnight interest rate, computed by the New York Fed as the volume-weighted median rate on overnight Treasury-collateralised repo transactions. SOFR replaced LIBOR as the global reference rate for dollar-denominated interest rate derivatives in 2023. It reflects the true cost of overnight dollar funding in the US financial system.

Live Intelligence Answer
Current Reading

5.0bps

Stress
As of July 2, 2026

Macro Implication

Repo market volatility. High SOFR-EFFR spread indicates primary dealers are constrained and funding is tightening.

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Why It Matters

Stress in SOFR — a sudden spike above the Fed Funds target rate — signals dollar funding scarcity or collateral quality concerns in repo markets. This is one of the earliest indicators of plumbing-level stress before it surfaces in broader financial conditions.

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