DETECTION: TIGHTENING

Thematic Macro Labs

Structural Telemetry • Regime Detection • Multipolar Research Hubs

Surveillance modules cataloging the fracturing of the post-1971 fiat monetary regime. We monitor real-time flows, liquidity corridors, and sovereign stress markers — bypassing retail narratives.

Active

US Macro & Fiscal Lab

High-frequency monetary liquidity mapping and fiscal stress telemetry. Tracks the systemic plumbline of the global financial core.

Methodology Core

Monetary base Z-score mapping (25-year structural boundaries) fused with Treasury auction bids and maturity schedules.

Surveillance Telemetry
US Net Liquidity ProxyTreasury General Account (TGA) BalanceReverse Repo (RRP) FacilityUS Debt Maturity Wall
Source: FRED / US Treasury DeptEnter Lab →
Active

De-Dollarization & Gold

Surveillance of central bank asset diversification, international trade settlements outside the SWIFT network, and hard asset pricing dynamics.

Methodology Core

Global sovereign reserve allocation divergence vs. physical gold positioning indicators.

Surveillance Telemetry
Central Bank Gold PurchasesSovereign Debt-to-Gold RatioSWIFT vs. Non-SWIFT SettlementsBRICS+ Reserve Diversification
Source: IMF / World Gold CouncilEnter Lab →
Active

India Macro Pulse

Deep-dive micro-surveillance of the Indian growth premium, monetary transmission cycles, and state-level capital spending pipelines.

Methodology Core

RBI liquidity stress monitoring matched with Ministry of Statistics core industrial production outputs.

Surveillance Telemetry
MOSPI Industrial Production (IIP)RBI FX Capital Account DefenseDigitization Premium IndexCorporate Credit Cycle Clock
Source: RBI DBIE / MOSPI IndiaEnter Lab →
Active

China Macro Pulse

Granular provincial tracking of credit aggregates, central bank liquidity operations, and industrial manufacturing capacity shifts.

Methodology Core

PBOC aggregate credit injections matched with physical energy grid utilization and high-frequency property stress indicators.

Surveillance Telemetry
Aggregate Financing (TSF)PBOC Credit InjectionsProvincial Growth Divergence MatrixReal Economy Manufacture Proxies
Source: PBOC / National Bureau of StatsEnter Lab →
Active

Energy & Commodities Lab

Physical trade flows, strategic oil reserves, refining margins, and commodity term-structure spreads tracking the structural energy deficit.

Methodology Core

Bilateral tanker flow mapping, refinery capacity constraints, and prompt-month futures spread matrices.

Surveillance Telemetry
Prompt-Month Calendar SpreadsBilateral Maritime FlowsStrategic Petroleum Reserve (SPR) LevelsGlobal Refining Capacity Stress
Source: EIA / UN Comtrade / OPECEnter Lab →
Active

Sovereign Stress Lab

Debt sustainability, structural interest coverage, sovereign CDS spreads, and yield curve inversion models for G20 nations.

Methodology Core

Debt service cost ratios vs. fiscal revenue capacities with real-time volatility thresholds.

Surveillance Telemetry
Sovereign CDS SpreadsInterest Service-to-Revenue RatioYield Curve Divergence IndexDebt-to-GDP Real Thresholds
Source: BIS / IMF Sovereign DatabaseEnter Lab →
Active

Shadow System Lab

Monitoring of non-bank liquidity conduits, eurodollar funding stresses, offshore leverage, and private repurchase plumbing.

Methodology Core

Cross-border repo rate stress indicators and offshore dollar funding basis spreads.

Surveillance Telemetry
SOFR-Repo Basis SpreadEurodollar Funding BasisNon-Bank Financial Leverage IndicesOffshore Collateral Velocity
Source: Federal Reserve / BISEnter Lab →
Active

China 15th FYP Lab

Strategic surveillance of industrial policy pivots, government clean energy allocations, and resource stockpiling indices for the upcoming 15th Five-Year Plan.

Methodology Core

Provincial capital allocation mapping vs. physical supply chain investment.

Surveillance Telemetry
Strategic Metals AllocationGreen Energy Grid AdditionsAdvanced Lithography InjectionsLocal Debt Swap Velocities
Source: NDRC / Ministry of Commerce CNEnter Lab →
Active

Africa Macro Pulse

Surveillance of resources, infrastructure financing dynamics, structural currency debasement, and physical bilateral commerce ratios across the continent.

Methodology Core

Bilateral mining royalty benchmarks matched with food import security index dynamics.

Surveillance Telemetry
Mining Royalty BenchmarksBilateral Debt LiabilitiesCurrency Volatility ThresholdsFood Import Dependence Index
Source: AfDB / African Union / ComtradeEnter Lab →
Active

Central Bank Gold Purchases

Real-time tracking of global central bank gold accumulation, PBoC and RBI reserve build-up, and the structural de-dollarization via hard asset rotation.

Methodology Core

IMF COFER + World Gold Council quarterly data reconciled against SWIFT cross-border reserve flow proxies.

Surveillance Telemetry
PBoC Gold Accumulation RateRBI Reserve DiversificationNet Central Bank Purchases (QoQ)Gold-to-FX Reserve Ratio
Source: IMF / World Gold Council / BISEnter Lab →
Active

BRICS Trade Settlement

Monitor BRICS bilateral trade settlement volumes, local currency adoption rates, and the structural gravity shift away from USD-denominated G7 trade networks.

Methodology Core

UN Comtrade bilateral flow analysis cross-referenced with SWIFT message volume divergence and CNH settlement data.

Surveillance Telemetry
Local Currency Settlement ShareBRICS Bilateral Trade VolumesSWIFT vs. Non-SWIFT DivergenceCNH/INR/BRL Settlement Growth
Source: UN Comtrade / SWIFT / PBoCEnter Lab →
Active

US Treasury Foreign Holdings

Deep analysis of foreign central bank UST holdings, sovereign selloff trajectories, and the fiscal dominance implications of declining demand at Treasury auctions.

Methodology Core

TIC data cross-referenced with auction bid-to-cover ratios and primary dealer positioning to identify structural demand erosion.

Surveillance Telemetry
Foreign UST Holdings (TIC Data)Auction Bid-to-Cover RatioChina / Japan Liquidation RatePrimary Dealer Absorption Rate
Source: US Treasury TIC / Federal ReserveEnter Lab →
Active

Petrodollar Decay Indicators

Structural decay monitoring of the USD-oil peg system, Petroyuan settlement adoption, and the Gold/Oil revaluation scenario as the recycling mechanism fractures.

Methodology Core

Saudi Aramco settlement currency composition, CNY oil futures open interest, and OPEC+ invoice currency tracking.

Surveillance Telemetry
CNY-Denominated Oil Settlement SharePetroyuan Futures OIGold/Oil Revaluation RatioOPEC+ Invoice Currency Breakdown
Source: EIA / OPEC / Shanghai INE / PBOCEnter Lab →
Terminal Active: Capture Mode