DETECTION: TIGHTENING
🇨🇳

CN

Sovereign Compass

Live Updates: Sun 02:00 UTC
Core Thesis
The Great Rebalancing & 15th FYP
Expert Intelligence Narrative

China's economic engine is shifting from property-led growth to high-tech manufacturing and the 'Three New' industries. The 15th Five-Year Plan (FYP) marks a critical juncture for this transition. With inflation lingering near zero at 0.42%, the PBOC is forced to maintain an accommodative stance despite a global tightening cycle. The shadow system continues to deleverage, creating drag on domestic demand. However, China's massive gold reserves of 2,291.5 and persistent trade surpluses provide significant strategic depth. The Mbridge project and further de-dollarization efforts are central to Beijing's long-term plan to insulate itself from US-led financial sanctions.

Live Data Integrated
Institutional Grade
Methodology Checked

Economic Size

GDP (Nominal)
SAFE
IMF
$18,273.40Bn
DAILY • FRED
GDP per Capita
SAFE
WB
$12,720.00
DAILY • FRED
Population
SAFE
UN
1,409.05Mn
DAILY • FRED

Growth & Inflation

Real GDP Growth
SAFE
WB
4.82%
DAILY • FRED
Inflation (CPI)
SAFE
IMF
0.42%
DAILY • FRED
Unemployment
SAFE
ILO
5.10%
DAILY • FRED

Monetary Policy

Policy Rate
SAFE
FRED/GMD
3.10%
DAILY • FRED
2Y Yield
FRED
No data available— Awaiting next observation from source
DAILY • FRED
10Y Yield
SAFE
FRED
2.90%
DAILY • FRED
Yield Slope (2s10s)
Calculated
No data available— Awaiting next observation from source
DAILY • FRED

External Sector

Current Account % GDP
SAFE
IMF
1.44%
DAILY • FRED
Exports % GDP
SAFE
WTO
20.52%
DAILY • FRED
Imports % GDP
SAFE
WTO
17.98%
DAILY • FRED
FX Reserves
SAFE
IMF
$3,300.00Bn
DAILY • FRED
Gold Reserves
SAFE
WGC
2,291.50T
DAILY • FRED

Fiscal Health

Gov Debt % GDP
SAFE
IMF
90.12%
DAILY • FRED
Budget Deficit % GDP
WARNING
IMF
-7.43%
DAILY • FRED
Terminal Active: Capture Mode